What are the three factors influencing the potash market
2017 high quality supplier of potassium nitrate xin Shanghai appropriate chemical analysis of the influencing factors of the potash market basically has the following three aspects:
a is an international potash overcapacity fundamentals remain unchanged, domestic potash production remained stable. In 2017, as the luo potassium qinghai potash fertilizer enterprise resource integration and international trust &investment expansion renovation project completed, China resources capacity will remain small growth trend. And productivity increased from the previous year. Its self-sufficiency rate of potash fertilizer in China will further enhance. Domestic potash will remain stable, resources integration and processing potash production capacity will be the next two years industry capacity of major change.
2 it is to supply the trend is expected to ease. As last year, domestic potash production, reducing import potash is a foregone conclusion. So carried over to the potash resources in 2017 has decreased. If domestic potash prices continued to rise in 2017, will cause imports to increase again, balance between supply and demand will be broken.
the third is the influence of the industrial chain upstream and downstream demand for potash. Domestic potash market prices will be according to the international price of compound fertilizer, agricultural prices, many factors such as overall demand. Policy, fertilizer zero growth in 2020 is the trend of The Times, the rigidity of a large number of elements into fertilizer demand growth bottleneck period, and may even appeared stagnation or decrease in 2017.
raw materials, potash production of gas is not large, so the price of natural gas release fertiliser companies seek the possibility of gas price discount is not big, the production cost will be slightly raised. AD valorem duty tax reform, tax rate in qinghai region slightly more generally, increase the cost in 5 ~ 35 yuan/ton. Downstream users for compound fertilizer, environmental monitoring the construction of compound fertilizer enterprises limited, compound fertilizer starts falling, will also affect the demand of potash.
on average, 2017 potash industry development goal is: to integrate resources, reduce production costs, enhance competitiveness; Promote the product structure adjustment, promote quality of new type fertilizer use; Further promote the development of science and technology innovation and green, etc.
that is about the introduction of the three factors influencing the potash market, Shanghai xin appropriate chemical wholesale sales of potassium nitrate, welcome consulting.